The Dividend Cafe The Bahnsen Group
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- Business
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The Dividend Cafe is your portal for market perspective that is virtually conflict-free, rooted in deep philosophical commitments about how capital should be managed, and understandable for all sorts of investors. Host David L. Bahnsen is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business. He is the author of the books, Crisis of Responsibility: Our Cultural Addiction to Blame and How You Can Cure It (Post Hill Press), The Case for Dividend Growth: Investing in a Post-Crisis World (Post Hill Press), and Full-Time: Work and the Meaning of Life (Post Hill Press).
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Fear is Often a Greedy Thing
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3QOLsna
The second quarter of 2024 hit its midpoint this week, and markets have continued with what has been a big rally in the month of May. As earnings season has now concluded and the Fed is sidelined for a bit, we might expect things to chill out for a bit, but markets never sleep, so who knows. But this week’s Dividend Cafe does give you a pretty good look at the yield curve and what it predicts (or doesn’t), along with a cogent expectation for inflation, some fascinating things Japan can teach us (or not), some campaign questions for Team Biden, and then ultimately – a real behavioral lesson that may just make or break your success as an investor.
So yes, the opportunity inside this week’s Dividend Cafe is serious. Let’s jump in!
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
The Dividend Cafe Thursday - May 16, 2024
Market Update and Economic Indicators: A Snapshot
In this episode of Dividend Cafe, recorded on Thursday, May 16th, the host provides a summary of the day's market activity, noting a flat day in the markets with a brief touch on 40,000 points on the Dow. Despite a mild decline by the close, bond yields rose slightly, and recent economic indicators including the CPI data, Philly fed and empire state manufacturing indexes, and industrial production, suggest a steady, if not expanding, economy. Brian also points out the positive jobless claims data and the rebound in new home constructions as signs of economic health. Additionally, an increase in real personal income and a 35% rise in the S&P 500 since the pre-pandemic period are highlighted as indicators that do not point towards an immediate recession. The episode concludes with a look forward to the next Dividend Cafe installment and wishes for a good weekend.
00:02 Market Overview: A Flat Yet Positive Day
00:38 Manufacturing and Economic Indicators: Holding Steady
01:05 Employment and Income: Signs of Economic Health
02:25 Housing Market and Inflation: A Positive Outlook
03:05 Closing Thoughts and Look Ahead
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
The Dividend Cafe Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Market Update: A Positive Turn with Cooler Inflation Numbers
This episode of Dividend Cafe provides a financial market update for Wednesday, May 15th, marking a positive trading day with the Dow up by 349 points and a rally in bonds. The episode highlights a cooler than expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April at 0.3%, indicating a positive trend in inflation rates. The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed mixed signals with March's deflationary revision and a hotter April.
These figures suggest a potential 2.8% year-over-year Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), which is crucial for Federal Reserve considerations.
Despite lower than expected retail sales and a contractionary Empire Manufacturing Survey, the episode suggests these are potentially positive signs for the Fed to lower interest rates.
00:19 Inflation and Economic Indicators Update
01:17 Retail Sales and Manufacturing Insights
01:54 Closing Thoughts and Tomorrow's Preview
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
The Dividend Cafe Tuesday - May 14, 2024
A daily summary of key market data and economic nuggets. Reach out with questions anytime! questions@thebahnsengroup.com.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
The Dividend Cafe Monday - May 13, 2024
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3UXaYJe
Markets opened to the upside and then spent the first half of the day declining (but not by much) and the second half of the day around that declined spot.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
In Theory but not in Practice
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4afqiVW
As I finish up this writing Friday morning the Dow is tracking for its eight consecutive day in positive territory (I have little doubt that my mere typing of that sentence likely jinxed it). The market reversal from April into May can be credited to a combination of:
Renewed acknowledgment that regardless of when the Fed begins cutting rates they have made it reasonably clear they are done hiking rates, and
Marginally improved financial markets liquidity in the present tense and with a vision to the future around the tapering of quantitative tightening, and
A good fundamental backdrop for corporate profits with another earnings season in the books reflective of enduring margins, reasonable forward guidance, and revenue growth in line with expectations
It is a bad time to be a market timer. But I don’t think anyone can even time when it is a good time to be a market timer, so maybe I am just repeating myself over and over. Anyways, we know what time it is at The Bahnsen Group …
… and it is time to jump into the Dividend Cafe.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com
Customer Reviews
Good understanding of Markets
Daily listener. Good breakdown of markets and economy.
Excellent source of understanding the markets and reasoning behind it. Also good info on investing and investors.
Thanks for the podcast,
Thumbs up - Christian influenced, guided insights.
👍👍👍👍👍Always MORE than economics!
A Must-listen for Understanding Markets and the Economy
I’m a regular listener who has found this program to be essential for understanding the forces in our economy. You have to listen for a bit to understand all the terminology but the effort reaps benefits.